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Will the iron ore price finish 2026 above US$100 a tonne?

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Resolves 15 January 2027 · 3 months left · Reserve Bank of Australia

Yes

0.48 points a share

48%

No

0.52 points a share

52%
Yes probability, opening 48% to 48% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the RBA published iron ore price for December 2026, in the Index of Commodity Prices or the matching statistical table, is strictly above 100 US dollars a tonne. Use the RBA figure, not a single day spot print.

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15 January 2027
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