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Will Melbourne dwelling prices finish 2026 higher than they started?

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Resolves 20 March 2027 · 5 months left · Australian Bureau of Statistics

Yes

0.43 points a share

43%

No

0.57 points a share

57%
Yes probability, opening 43% to 43% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the ABS Residential Property Price Index for Melbourne in the December quarter 2026, first release, is strictly above the December quarter 2025 index. Otherwise No. Later revisions do not change settlement.

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20 March 2027
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