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Will 2026 be among Australia five warmest years on record?

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Resolves 31 January 2027 · 4 months left · Bureau of Meteorology

Yes

0.62 points a share

62%

No

0.38 points a share

38%
Yes probability, opening 62% to 62% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the Bureau of Meteorology annual climate statement for 2026 ranks that year Australian mean temperature among the five warmest in the official national record. Equal fifth counts as Yes. Pending until the annual statement.

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31 January 2027
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