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Will trimmed-mean inflation print below 3.0% for the December 2026 quarter?

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Resolves 28 January 2027 · 4 months left · Australian Bureau of Statistics

Yes

0.44 points a share

44%

No

0.56 points a share

56%
Yes probability, opening 44% to 44% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the first ABS Consumer Price Index release for the December quarter 2026 shows annual trimmed-mean inflation strictly below 3.0%. Exactly 3.0% resolves No. Later revisions do not change settlement.

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28 January 2027
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