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Will annual wage growth stay at or above 3.0% in the December 2026 WPI?

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Resolves 19 February 2027 · 4 months left · Australian Bureau of Statistics

Yes

0.58 points a share

58%

No

0.42 points a share

42%
Yes probability, opening 58% to 58% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the first ABS Wage Price Index release for the December quarter 2026 shows annual growth in the seasonally adjusted total hourly rates of pay excluding bonuses at or above 3.0%. Later revisions do not count.

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19 February 2027
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