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Will annual inflation fall below 2.5% in June 2027?

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Resolves 30 June 2027 · 9 months left · Australian Bureau of Statistics

Yes

0.52 points a share

52%

No

0.48 points a share

48%
Yes probability, opening 52% to 52% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the ABS headline all groups CPI annual change for the June quarter 2027, first published, is strictly below 2.5%. Exactly 2.5% resolves No. Later revisions do not change settlement.

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30 June 2027
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