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Will Labor win the most seats at the next federal election?

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Resolves 31 December 2027 · 1 year left · Australian Electoral Commission

Yes

0.59 points a share

59%

No

0.41 points a share

41%
Yes probability, opening 59% to 59% now.

How this resolves

Yes if the Australian Labor Party wins more House of Representatives seats than any other single registered party at the next federal election. A tie for most seats resolves No. Use final AEC results.

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31 December 2027
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