Resolves 1 January 2028 · 1 year left · Australian Electoral Commission
Yes
0.72 points a share
72%
No
0.28 points a share
28%
Yes probability, opening 72% to 72% now.
How this resolves
Yes if polling day for the next House of Representatives general election, as gazetted by the Australian Electoral Commission, falls before 1 January 2028. A half-Senate election alone does not count. Use the AEC official election calendar.