Resolves 1 February 2028 · 1 year left · Parliament of Australia
Yes
0.38 points a share
38%
No
0.62 points a share
62%
Yes probability, opening 38% to 38% now.
How this resolves
Yes if, on the first sitting day of the Senate after the next federal election, the Australian Greens can determine the outcome of a vote when the government and the Coalition vote on opposite sides, using the official Senate party composition published by the Parliament. A tie in that test resolves No.